Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.151889 0.172963 0.196359 0.224337 0.256989 0.294014 0.339348
2026-01-04 0.119463 0.147676 0.182102 0.227560 0.286532 0.361170 0.463935
2026-01-11 0.100318 0.131585 0.172468 0.230599 0.312369 0.425168 0.595863
2026-01-18 0.088332 0.121476 0.167291 0.236507 0.340667 0.495270 0.749275
2026-01-25 0.078091 0.111643 0.160201 0.237388 0.360413 0.554967 0.898680
2026-02-01 0.069848 0.103248 0.153546 0.237144 0.377359 0.612130 1.055452
2026-02-08 0.062731 0.095467 0.146513 0.234774 0.389740 0.663031 1.211839
2026-02-15 0.056714 0.088581 0.139853 0.231736 0.399962 0.711257 1.373642
2026-02-22 0.053154 0.085180 0.138334 0.237066 0.425662 0.792270 1.620738
2026-03-01 0.048606 0.079595 0.132396 0.233522 0.433877 0.840418 1.809308
2026-03-08 0.045250 0.075672 0.128853 0.233816 0.449441 0.906176 2.055082
2026-03-15 0.042238 0.072030 0.125370 0.233671 0.463935 0.972196 2.319604
2026-03-22 0.040200 0.069988 0.124696 0.239191 0.491830 1.075125 2.713880
2026-03-29 0.038033 0.067500 0.122915 0.242239 0.514951 1.172269 3.126068
2026-04-05 0.036094 0.065242 0.121318 0.245426 0.538935 1.276932 3.597288
2026-04-12 0.034660 0.063812 0.121189 0.251757 0.571515 1.411355 4.211822
2026-04-19 0.032823 0.061410 0.118815 0.252701 0.590954 1.514965 4.766101
2026-04-26 0.031044 0.058959 0.116083 0.252439 0.607273 1.613790 5.344921
2026-05-03 0.029227 0.056274 0.112583 0.249892 0.617134 1.696152 5.898471
2026-05-10 0.027511 0.053657 0.108977 0.246629 0.624517 1.772970 6.465540
2026-05-17 0.026627 0.052719 0.108983 0.252354 0.658315 1.942995 7.506634
2026-05-24 0.025114 0.050305 0.105434 0.248548 0.663756 2.020505 8.177359
2026-05-31 0.024003 0.048682 0.103549 0.248863 0.681715 2.146517 9.146159